Main content

Voodoo polling? Predicting the US election

This week Ruth Alexander looks at the other winner the US elections. Blogger and pioneer of aggregated polling, Nate Silver, predicted the outcome of the vote in every state...

This week Ruth Alexander looks at the other winner the US elections. Blogger and pioneer of aggregated polling, Nate Silver, predicted the outcome of the vote in every state one better than 2008. Others who have tried similar methods have also done well. Is this the dawn of a new era of poll prediction or just luck?
Also, what effect did Hurricane Sandy have on death rates in places it hit and how did they differ from a normal day.

Release date:

10 minutes

Unlock the history and truth behind the data with The OU

Explore how numbers shape, and sometimes mislead us, with The Open University.

When can you trust statistics?

When can you trust statistics?

Ä¢¹½¶ÌÊÓÆµ Ideas discovers three easy ways to help make sense of statistics.

Podcast